Categories: Business

Wall Street Sees Any Stock Market Rally as Likely Short-Lived

[ad_1]

(Bloomberg) — A growing number of Wall Street strategists see last week’s stock market rebound as a head fake before more selling, as risks to the US economy and corporate earnings growth remain with stubbornly high inflation.

Most Read from Bloomberg

The S&P 500 Index is drifting lower Tuesday after snapping its longest streak of weekly drops in two decades. And analysts from banks and investment firms including Morgan Stanley, Bank of America Corp. and Oppenheimer & Co. expect more losses ahead.

Read: Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says US Stock Rally Has Limited Upside

The recent bounce was driven by oversold conditions tied to hopes that that the Federal Reserve may be debating a pause in September, Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson, one of Wall Street’s most vocal bears, told clients in a note. He thinks earnings estimates remain too high and sees the S&P 500 trading close to 3,400 by the end of the second-quarter earnings season in mid-August, implying 18% downside from Friday’s close.

Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, also thinks the S&P 500 will decline to 3,400 to 3,500, but told clients in a note that it’s “probably a late summer or early fall event,” and before that the equities benchmark will bounce between 3,800 and 4,250.

Read: Historic Rout Isn’t Over Yet, Bank of America Strategists Say

Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, pointed out how the S&P 500 was due for rally as its price-to-earnings ratio based on forward 12-month estimates reached 16.8, the lowest reading since early April 2020 and 1.1% below a two-decade average.

“The market was primed for at least a short-term snap-back,” Stovall told clients in a note. “We remain skeptical of this rally’s sustainability.”

That said, the S&P 500 is likely “closer to a bottom than a top”, according to Ari Wald, head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer, as several of the firm’s market-bottom indicators near their targeted thresholds. The S&P 500, for instance, tallied a peak-to-trough decline of 21% during intraday trading on May 20.

Still, weak market breadth may herald further declines for U.S. stocks in the near term as fewer stocks moving major indexes higher.

“We’re assuming that the S&P 500 overshot to the downside in May, and recent stabilization has positioned the index for counter-trend relief,” Wald told clients. “We also believe this year’s downturn requires additional time over the coming months, and that relief rallies are likely to be sold until an established base is presented.”

Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

[ad_2]
Source link
Admin

Recent Posts

Kijangwin is the latest online video gaming provider

Kijangwin is your brand-new go-to destination for all things internet gaming. Whether you're an informal…

2 days ago

How to Style Trendy Clothes Effortlessly

Hey there, fashion enthusiasts! Are you ready to dive into the world of trendy clothes…

3 days ago

How to effectively recover your frozen/stolen funds from fraudulent platforms

Hey there! If you're reading this, there's a good chance you've found yourself in the…

3 days ago

Important things about Core 2 . 0 regarding Hemp Users

Hey there, hemp enthusiasts! If you've been on the hunt for the next big thing…

5 days ago

Exploring the Features and Benefits of Strio

Hey there! Have you ever found yourself tangled up in the world of communication and…

1 week ago

The Importance of Pre-Sale Pest Control: Ensuring a Smooth Home Transaction

Are you worried that hidden critters might derail your home sale? Selling a house can…

2 weeks ago